Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ADE
3 - 1
MEL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
MEL
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
WUF
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
32%
24%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
PER
1 - 3
SYD
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PER
1 - 2
CCM
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WPH
1 - 2
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WUF
1 - 1
PER
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |