Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
WPH
2 - 1
MEL
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
MCI
0 - 1
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
PER
0 - 2
MCI
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
PER
0 - 3
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
SYD
6 - 0
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
WPH
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |