Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WES
0 - 2
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
CCM
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 2
WPH
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PER
1 - 1
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PER
0 - 1
WES
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |