Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SYD
1 - 1
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
PER
0 - 1
CCM
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAP
0 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PER
5 - 0
ADE
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
PER
0 - 2
PAP
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PAP
4 - 2
PER
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |