Melbourne Victory vs North Queensland Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
GOL
1 - 0
MEL
35%
25%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
MEL
4 - 0
WPH
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MEL
6 - 2
PER
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 2
MEL
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
NEW
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRI
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
WPH
3 - 0
NOR
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 1
NOR
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
MEL
31%
27%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |