Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
ADE
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 0
MEL
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 5
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |