Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 1
SYD
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PER
0 - 1
MEL
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
WES
1 - 0
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 2
BRI
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |