Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PER
4 - 2
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
WPH
47%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PER
3 - 0
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
MEL
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |