Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
JEJ
1 - 1
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
GAM
31%
24%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
TIT
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
3 - 2
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |