Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 1
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 2
MEL
6%
12%
82%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
HUM
0 - 1
MEL
5%
11%
84%
|
76 | 35 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
MEL
27%
23%
51%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
ATM
15%
26%
60%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WPH
0 - 1
MCI
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
MCI
4 - 1
WES
51%
23%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 2
MCI
3%
8%
89%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
FLO
1 - 2
MCI
3%
7%
90%
|
72 | 26 | 46 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ADE
4 - 1
MCI
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |