Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 0
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 3
MEL
4%
11%
86%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 6
MEL
3%
8%
88%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
SYD
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HEU
0 - 5
MCI
6%
12%
82%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
MCI
5 - 1
WPH
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
EDG
1 - 2
MCI
6%
13%
81%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MCI
0 - 1
MAC
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | 0 |