Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
4 - 1
WES
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
TUG
0 - 6
MEL
5%
11%
84%
|
73 | 18 | 55 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
0 - 2
MEL
6%
12%
83%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 1
CCM
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 3
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |