Melbourne Victory vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
TIT
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
TIT
1 - 1
MEL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
JEJ
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
5 - 1
MEL
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GOL
1 - 0
MEL
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
GAM
3 - 2
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
GAM
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
GAM
3 - 1
JEJ
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
JEJ
2 - 1
GAM
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
TIT
2 - 1
GAM
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |