Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MEL
4 - 1
WPH
39%
23%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
ADE
1 - 2
MEL
60%
21%
20%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
GCK
1 - 2
MEL
5%
10%
85%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SYD
3 - 2
CCM
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 3
MCI
31%
25%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
SYD
0 - 1
CCM
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
API
0 - 6
CCM
8%
17%
75%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CCM
2 - 0
WES
37%
25%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |