Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 2
BRI
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 2
WUF
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
WPH
3 - 0
MEL
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 4
SYD
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 1
ADE
32%
26%
43%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
CCM
1 - 1
WES
21%
23%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
CCM
0 - 0
NEW
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
PER
1 - 0
CCM
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2020 |
CCM
2 - 4
MCI
11%
18%
71%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 0
CCM
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |