Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
4 - 0
MEL
64%
19%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
MEL
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
PER
0 - 2
MEL
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
MEL
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CCM
0 - 3
PER
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CCM
0 - 1
ADE
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 3
CCM
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CCM
2 - 8
WPH
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CCM
3 - 5
BRI
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |