Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 1
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 3
PER
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
MCI
40%
25%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
API
3 - 2
MEL
8%
14%
78%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
MEL
51%
22%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CCM
0 - 3
ADE
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 1
CCM
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
SWU
0 - 4
CCM
4%
9%
88%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CCM
6 - 1
CCF
87%
10%
3%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | +1 |