Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MCI
1 - 2
MEL
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WES
0 - 3
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 0
WES
47%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CCM
1 - 2
BRI
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WPH
3 - 0
CCM
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CCM
1 - 4
WES
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CCM
2 - 0
PER
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
CCM
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |