Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PER
4 - 1
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
3 - 2
ADE
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
CCM
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |