Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
ADE
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 3
MEL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 3
SYD
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 0
ADE
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
CCM
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 3
CCM
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CCM
1 - 1
NOR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
SYD
1 - 0
CCM
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |