Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PER
3 - 2
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 2
SYD
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
4 - 2
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
CCM
3 - 4
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2008 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 2
CCM
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
WPH
1 - 0
CCM
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CCM
2 - 1
SYD
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |