Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 1
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PER
2 - 1
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
MEL
5 - 0
SYD
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CCM
1 - 2
ADE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CCM
1 - 5
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NZK
1 - 3
CCM
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CCM
4 - 0
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |