Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 1
WES
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CCM
1 - 1
MEL
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 2
MEL
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 2
MCI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 1
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 0
CCM
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WPH
3 - 3
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
ADE
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
MCI
2 - 0
BRI
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |