Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
CCM
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WES
0 - 0
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 3
WPH
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 0
MEL
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MEL
4 - 1
PER
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MUA
3 - 0
BRI
25%
23%
52%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 1
WES
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
4 - 3
WPH
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 1
KAA
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |