Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 0
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 3
MEL
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MEL
3 - 2
SYD
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 0
ADE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
5 - 0
NZK
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CCM
0 - 0
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
NEW
2 - 3
BRI
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BRI
3 - 0
PER
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |