Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 1
NZK
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
CCM
3 - 1
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ADE
0 - 1
CCM
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ADE
2 - 2
SYD
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 1
ADE
23%
24%
52%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |