Melbourne Victory Sub 21 vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 3
MEL
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 2
MEL
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
MEL
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 1
MEL
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 1
OAK
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
GRE
5 - 0
OAK
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
BEN
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
HUM
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
GEE
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 2
GRE
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |