FC Melbourne Knights vs Werribee City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
NGW
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
OAK
4 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AVH
0 - 0
MEL
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Werribee City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
WEC
0 - 2
GRE
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
WEC
88%
9%
4%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
WEC
1 - 3
BEN
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
HEU
1 - 0
WEC
83%
12%
6%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 2
WEC
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |