FC Melbourne Knights vs Sydney United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 2
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
38%
25%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MEL
3 - 4
ADE
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 0
MEL
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 3
PAP
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
2 - 4
PER
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
SYD
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
0 - 0
SFC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
BRI
2 - 0
SYD
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |