FC Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
AVH
1 - 1
MEL
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 2
OAK
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
DAC
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
MEL
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 2
BEN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 3
AVH
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DAC
0 - 1
SOU
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 0
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |