FC Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
DAC
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
MEL
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALM
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
OAK
2 - 2
MEL
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
HEU
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
HUM
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
DAC
1 - 1
SOU
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
STA
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
DAN
42%
23%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |