FC Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MEL
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MEL
5 - 1
WEC
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
NGW
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
OAK
4 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 2
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
HEU
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
BEN
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
WEC
88%
9%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
6 - 1
FRA
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |