FC Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 0
CCO
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
0 - 1
SYD
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
3 - 2
BRI
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
SFC
2 - 1
MEL
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 0
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
4 - 4
CSC
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
PER
2 - 1
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
SYD
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
MAR
5 - 3
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 0
NCB
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |