FC Melbourne Knights vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 1
MEL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 0
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 0
GIF
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CWA
3 - 0
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 0
NCB
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 1
SOU
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
ADE
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 3
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |