FC Melbourne Knights vs St Albans Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
14º
7º
25
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 3
AVH
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 3
POR
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
MEL
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
6%
13%
82%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
HEU
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St Albans Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
DAC
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
AVH
6%
14%
80%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
STA
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STA
0 - 2
GRE
22%
23%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 1
STA
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |