FC Melbourne Knights vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HUM
2 - 4
MEL
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
MEL
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
MCF
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 3
MEL
8%
14%
77%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
AVH
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 1
QUE
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
QUE
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 0
QUE
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
QUE
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 1
BRR
83%
11%
5%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |