FC Melbourne Knights vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
PAP
2 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
CSC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
PER
3 - 3
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 1
PER
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
SYD
2 - 1
PER
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
PER
1 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
PER
2 - 1
ADE
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |