FC Melbourne Knights vs Oakleigh Cannons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
11º
4º
58
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
MEL
36%
24%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
MEL
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALM
61%
19%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 0
GRE
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
OAK
3 - 1
MEL
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Oakleigh Cannons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
OAK
3 - 1
GRE
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
OAK
2 - 5
MFC
9%
14%
78%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 5
OAK
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
OAK
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
OAK
2 - 1
SYD
9%
16%
75%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +2 |