FC Melbourne Knights vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
PER
2 - 0
MEL
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
MEL
1 - 3
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
MEL
0 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
SYD
0 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
1 - 2
NZK
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 2
NZK
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
NZK
2 - 7
PER
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
MAR
5 - 3
NZK
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
NZK
0 - 0
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |