FC Melbourne Knights vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
EPR
2 - 2
MEL
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 3
SYD
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
SYD
0 - 1
MEL
29%
25%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
MEL
4 - 0
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
SOU
5 - 2
MEL
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2001 |
NZK
1 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CSC
0 - 3
NZK
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2001 |
NZK
3 - 3
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
ADE
1 - 1
NZK
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
NZK
1 - 2
SFC
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |