FC Melbourne Knights vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 0
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
MEL
3 - 0
CSC
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
PER
1 - 0
MEL
53%
22%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 4
MEL
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
SYD
2 - 2
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
SYD
0 - 3
NEW
44%
25%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
NEW
3 - 0
CSC
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |