FC Melbourne Knights vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 0
MEL
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
MEL
2 - 0
WAD
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1995 |
MAR
0 - 0
MEL
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
MEL
0 - 1
SYD
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 2
MEL
32%
25%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1995 |
NCB
1 - 1
SYD
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
NCB
0 - 0
BRI
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
WAD
2 - 1
NCB
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1995 |
NCB
0 - 2
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
SYD
4 - 0
NCB
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |