FC Melbourne Knights vs Moreland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
14º
7º
14
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DAC
2 - 5
MEL
35%
24%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
MEL
12%
19%
70%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
AVH
1 - 1
MEL
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
MEL
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
SOU
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Moreland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 1
STA
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AVH
5 - 1
MCF
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MCF
1 - 1
POR
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 2
MCF
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 1
GRE
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +3 |