FC Melbourne Knights vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SYD
6 - 2
MEL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PAP
3 - 0
MEL
37%
25%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 2
ADE
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SYD
3 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 2
BRI
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |