FC Melbourne Knights vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 2
MEL
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 2
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MEL
5 - 0
CCO
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
ADE
5 - 0
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1996 |
MAR
4 - 1
ADE
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 2
MEL
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
WAD
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |