FC Melbourne Knights vs Hume City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
MEL
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 4
HEU
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 2
BEN
34%
24%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
MEL
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 3
AVH
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HUM
3 - 4
BEN
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
5 - 0
HUM
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HUM
0 - 3
AVH
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
DAC
2 - 1
HUM
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HUM
3 - 3
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |