FC Melbourne Knights vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AVH
1 - 0
MEL
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
CAM
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
3 - 2
MEL
36%
23%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
DAN
65%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MDT
0 - 3
HEU
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
3 - 2
MEL
36%
23%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
14%
22%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
HEU
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 3
HEU
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |