FC Melbourne Knights vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
AVH
1 - 1
MEL
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 0
HUM
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
MEL
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
DAN
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
MEL
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
HEU
2 - 1
DAC
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
HEU
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 2
HEU
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
OAK
1 - 1
HEU
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HEU
0 - 1
SOU
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |