FC Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 2
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 2
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
HUM
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
HEU
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
4 - 2
MEL
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
4 - 1
AVH
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
2 - 2
GRE
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
GRE
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAS
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 2
HUM
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |