FC Melbourne Knights vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1999 |
NZK
3 - 3
MEL
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 1
SFC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 2
MEL
54%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PER
6 - 1
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
BRI
0 - 1
GIF
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
NZK
1 - 1
GIF
63%
20%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
GIF
2 - 0
SFC
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
SOU
2 - 0
GIF
70%
18%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |